Here is a more formal, but nevertheless elementary treatment.
The key tool to single out the separate pontential and kinetic energy contributions, for a given averaged total energy $E=<T>+<V>$, is the Virial Theorem (VT). For an atom (one nucleus and its electron cloud) the VT takes the simple form
$$ 2<T>+<V>=0 \ .$$
For a biatomic system (representing two well separated H atoms, but also the covalently bonded H$_2$ molecule) the VT would be stated in "molecular" form as
$$E(R)+R\ \frac{d}{dR}E(R)=-< T > \ (1).$$
It has to be stressed that this VT holds exactly for any arbitrary separation $R$ of the nuclei, for overlapping as well as non-overlapping electron clouds. Here $E(R)$ is the exact and total energy, $<T>$ and $<V>$ are the average values of the kinetic and potential energies of the electrons, averaged with the exact wave function. Naturally, $<T>$ and $<V>$ are also $R$-dependent. Contrary to what one may think at first sight, the $dE/dR$ term is an integral part of the VT, even if the nuclei are kept firmly fixed.
By differentiation of (1) it follows
$$2\frac{dE}{dR}+R\ \frac{d^2E}{dR^2}=-\frac{d}{dR}< T >\ (2) .$$
Pushing the two H atoms towards each other from infinity, if a stable bond is to be formed at a certain separation $R_0$, we ought have for a stable minimum
$$d^2E/dR^2>0 \ (3)$$
and a slightly attractive force
$$dE/dR\ge 0 \ (4)$$
starting below a certain separation $R\ge R_0$. Conditions $(3,4)$ imply
$$\frac{d< T >}{dR}<0 \ (5)$$
while condition $(4)$ alone is satisfied only if
$$ 2<T>+<V> \ \le 0 \ \ (6)$$
below some $R\ge R_0$.
Remark 1: If a bond of length $R_0$ is to be formed at all, the kinetic energy of the electrons necessarily has to $increase$ while $R$ is decreased towards $R_0$.
Remark 2: Although the kinetic energy will increase with decreasing $R$, Eq.6 guarantees that the potential energy (negative) will be at least the double of the kinetic energy (only for $R\ge R_0$).
Note: This argumentation is crystal-clearly presented in Cohen-Tannoudji's Quantum Mechanics, Vol.2, p.1191-1199. They also discuss a couple of subtle points related to the physical mechanisms which produce different inequalities at large separations.