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I am an absolute neophyte regarding physics. What are the challenges to achieving cold fusion?

I'm not sure this is a duplicate of Why is cold fusion considered bogus?, because that question is talking largely about the validity of some claims of cold fusion being realized. This question is specifically asking about the challenges of cold fusion and how they may be addressed in the emerging study of "low energy nuclear reactions"

Chimera
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    From my understanding of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_fusion, there's no theoretical model under which Cold Fusion could ever work. Like teleportation, faster than light travel, time travel, etc. – Mooing Duck Oct 30 '12 at 17:00
  • @MooingDuck Thanks for the great link. Reading now. – Chimera Oct 30 '12 at 17:04
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    Wait, you posted a question before reading wikipedia? – Mooing Duck Oct 30 '12 at 17:04
  • @MooingDuck Yes, I want to hear from the experts. – Chimera Oct 30 '12 at 17:07
  • Related: http://physics.stackexchange.com/q/3799/2451 – Qmechanic Oct 30 '12 at 17:07
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    I'm treating this as a request for discussion. It certainly can not be answered without access to a time machine. – dmckee --- ex-moderator kitten Oct 30 '12 at 17:11
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    @Qmechanic Question edited to remove the need for a time machine. Can this be re-opened? – Chimera Oct 30 '12 at 17:23
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    @Chimera: I think you misunderstood. This question cannot be answered without a time machine. We can't answer questions of the form of "What theory needs to be invented before we can do X?". It's not possible to answer them. – Mooing Duck Oct 30 '12 at 17:25
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    I've just voted for a reopen. While we're waiting, to get protons to fuse you have to get them close enough together for the strong force to take effect. The trouble is that electrostatic repulsion between the two positive charges makes it hard to get the protons that close. If you make the protons hot enough, their thermal velocities are high enough to punch through the electrostatic repululsion and get fusion. Tokamak reactors heat protons to 100 million degrees to achieve this. The sun manages fusion at lower temperatures because the density is much higher. – John Rennie Oct 30 '12 at 17:25
  • @JohnRennie Thank you for the vote to reopen and the informative answer. – Chimera Oct 30 '12 at 17:28
  • The challenge for cold fusion is to find a way to get the protons close without requiring high thermal velocities. Pons and Fleishman thought absorption into palladium would do this, but the evidence suggests they were wrong. To date no-one has suggested any physical mechanism that could manage this. – John Rennie Oct 30 '12 at 17:29
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    I agree with dmckee - the problem with this question is that it's asking about something which is impossible, "assuming it's possible." Asking why it's not possible would be okay (although perhaps a duplicate of the other question). – David Z Oct 30 '12 at 17:51
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    @JohnRennie Not so hasty. Have a look at the controversial http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Catalyzer . The designation is now LENR , low energy nuclear reactions, and any theoretical attempts treat it as a whole crystal interaction which allows proximity of fusible nuclei. – anna v Oct 30 '12 at 17:53
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    @annav: I'll believe it when I see it working. – John Rennie Oct 30 '12 at 18:14
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    @JohnRennie Sure, if they succeed the theory will be found. – anna v Oct 30 '12 at 18:20
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    While I appreciate the effort that has gone into editing here I think the current version is a duplicate of 3799. Indeed the currently accepted answer to that question is exactly John's correct observation about the Coulomb barrier. Personally I am always happy to hear that people are still poking around the problem. – dmckee --- ex-moderator kitten Oct 31 '12 at 04:40
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    The coulomb barrier is only a problem if you assume that everything is thermal, and nothing is kicking around at 10s of KeV's. The experimental data from LENR groups show KeV deuterons, and MeV alphas (these don't go far), together with X-rays and transmutation products. I voted to reopen, because I think cold fusion experimental data is unassailable today. – Ron Maimon Oct 31 '12 at 06:05
  • Thanks everybody for your comments. I've got a slightly greater understanding of some of the issues now. – Chimera Oct 31 '12 at 16:18
  • @RonMaimon Thanks for your comment. You seem to have a great grasp on physics. May I ask where you studied? – Chimera Oct 31 '12 at 17:07
  • I find the argument that the new data makes this distinct from the the old questions very persuasive. Re-opening. Thanks to all. – dmckee --- ex-moderator kitten Oct 31 '12 at 20:24
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    @Chimera: I am mostly self taught (I didn't learn anything at the fancy schools), but I had a good QFT course from Sidney Coleman at Harvard (he thought I was incompetent), and I was fortunate to work with E. Siggia (briefly) and P. Argyres (less briefly) on a too-long misguided quest at Cornell for a doctorate. The classes generally were caricatures of the history at both schools, and on the undergrad level, equivalent to those anywhere else. The seminars were informative, and two peers, Z. Kakushadze and S. Hellerman taught me a little about strings, J.M. Schwarz introduced me to depinning. – Ron Maimon Oct 31 '12 at 20:25
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    @RonMaimon Interesting, thanks for sharing that information. – Chimera Oct 31 '12 at 21:39
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    @Chimera do note that just because someone seems to have a great grasp on physics, it doesn't mean that they do, and it is hard to tell the difference without understanding physics quite well yourself. – David Z Nov 04 '12 at 07:16
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    @DavidZaslavsky: Yeah, and even if they actually do have a good grasp, it doesn't stop them from saying complete and total nonsense occasionally. Everyone says stupid things every once in a while, even Dirac and Einstein. Except in the particular case of cold fusion, I am not saying nonsense, and you can check yourself by reading the supressed literature. – Ron Maimon Nov 04 '12 at 14:37

5 Answers5

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The binding energy curve for nucleons in nuclei shows which atoms can take part in fusion, releasing energy in the process.

binding energy curve Fusion happens as one goes from left to right, until reaching Fe, iron. From there to the right it is fission that will release extra energy

This is an example of a fusion reaction, the one that is actually being materialized in ITER, fusion of deuterium with tritium creating helium-4. ITER is hot fusion, because it requires a very hot plasma in a Tokamak machine.

deuterium tritium

Why such high plasma energies? So as to overcome the Coulomb barrier as stated in the comments to the question. For two nuclei to fuse they have to get through the Coulomb barrier, since both will have positive charge and will repulse each other.

Cold fusion started with the hypothesis that, since nature is quantum mechanical, a way can be found to overcome this barrier by some collective phenomena in crystals. The hypothesis for the mechanism is that in the crystal an electron can bind with a proton and behave like a neutron .Up to now I am not aware of a published peer reviewed demonstration that the original Palladium experiment in cold fusion was really demonstrating fusion, though efforts continue. The energies released are not high enough for fusion, was the damaging criticism when cold fusion first appeared.

On the other hand people have since tried other crystal structures and claim success and even promise to deliver working reactors. No peer reviewed publications from there either, but they can be excused since they have applied for patents and are going commercial. There is a branch off also by another company claiming similar success. We are waiting.

There even exists a video from a NASA researchers on cold fusion.

Skepticism from the physics community is natural, because there is no clear demonstration that would shut up criticism yet, so people talk of scams. Time will tell, you can fool ....

EDIT 27/11/12

Qualification to the original following statement :

I have found though this interesting video which is not directly cold fusion, except that it can be carried out in the kitchen which can be considered cold, dust fusion! Where the claim is that the plasma temperatures needed for fusion can be achieved with the energy input of a microwave oven.

I found that Pyrolytic-carbon could explain the effects in the dust fusion video linked above, without transmutation.

It is also more diamagnetic (-400x10^-6) against the cleavage plane, exhibiting the greatest diamagnetism (by weight) of any room temperature diamagnet. It is even possible to levitate reasonably pure and sufficiently ordered samples over rare earth permanent magnets.

levitating pyrolytic carbon

Pyrolytic carbon levitating over permanent magnets

anna v
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  • while this is informative, it is wrong to demand "peer review" in this case, as peer review is just censorship. The stuff you link to, the "surface polaritons", the NASA stuff, the Rossi crap, this is the worst stuff in the cold fusion field. There are hangers-on and frauds, the legitimate work is Pons/Fleischmann, McKubre, Arata, and others related to this experimental setup. It's Pd/d not Ni/H, and it's fusion with KeV energies, not some nonexistent crystal effect. – Ron Maimon Nov 04 '12 at 14:58
  • @ron "Pons/Fleisch" you really think so? Don't you think funding of their lab might have had something to do with what they saw? – John McAndrew Nov 06 '12 at 23:42
  • @JohnMcVirgo: Are you crazy? They lost all their funding, and their tenure, and got thrown to the wind! All they had to do was recant their fusion, and it would have been ok, like Paneth and Peters, but they didn't recant. That's what you get for reporting the most important discovery since fire, although, to be fair, Prometheus was treated slightly worse. Nobody in this field is in it for the money, except Rossi, and he's scamming. There is no money in this, and Fleischmann was already world famous before he announced this. Nobody money driven has ever discovered anything of value. – Ron Maimon Nov 06 '12 at 23:52
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    The money was on the other side--- the hot fusion folks were afraid of losing their funding, and said so. At MIT, they held a "death of cold fusion" party before the replication they were conducting was even run! In this video you have this fellow saying "Broadly speaking, it's dead, and it will remain dead for a long, long time." The notable part is the "long, long time". What the heck is that supposed to mean? That all discredited ideas come back? This means "I know it's real, but I'll suppress it, because I am jealous of Martin's immortality." – Ron Maimon Nov 07 '12 at 00:03
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    @RonMaimon I saw the video and do not come to the conclusion that he knows it was right, he is just a senior bloviating . I lived through the period. Everybody was very excited for months. Solid state people did not give a dam for hot fusion, nor low energy nuclear physicists. Many people wanted a piece of the pie of excitement and were completely disappointed at not being able to reproduce the effect. You should read the link for the white paper of Shanahan below . He is measured in his criticism and wants the field open and does not exclude LENR succeeding in the end. – anna v Nov 07 '12 at 05:02
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    @annav: My mystification is at the Freudian slip "it will remain dead for a long, long time." This is something that would not be said by someone who doesn't believe that the phenomenon is real. Anyone who thought it was delusion would have just said "it will remain dead." Is geocentric model going to remain dead for a long long time? Is phlogiston going to remain dead for a long long time? Only suppressed things remain dead for a long long time, real pseudoscience remains dead forever. – Ron Maimon Nov 07 '12 at 16:06
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For some recent information on the running battle between cold fusion researchers and myself over my proposed conventional (non-nuclear) explanation of the Fleishmann-Pons(-Hawkins) effect, you might want to look here: https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B3d7yWtb1doPc3otVGFUNDZKUDQ (referenced in this: http://www.networkworld.com/columnists/2012/102612-backspin.html?page=1)

which is a whitepaper on the subject I just released. To fully follow the arguments however, you will probably need to at least look at the first 8 refernces listed, as they are my 4 peer-reviewed publications in the field and related cold fusioneer responses.

In my whitepaper, I outline why the original F&P calorimetric conclusions were likely incorrect. In my 2002 publication I show how apparent excess heat signals can arise in F&P electrochemical cells. I talk about other errors in the 2010 publication, and the gross misrepresentation of what I say in the 2010 response should be more than adequate to demonstrate the biased approach taken by cold fusion researchers.

I noted above a lot of talk about 'normal' fusion mechanisms. You should all realize that the response to these kinds of criticisms is "OK, we agree, but we found a new type of nuclear reaction, which is why we prefer to call the field Low Energy Nuclear Reactions (LENR)." In other words, stating that they do not show conformance to conventional fusion characteristics is a nearly meaningless activity these days. Good historical info though.

-added text -

Today the field lumped under the term ‘cold fusion’ (CF) covers a lot of ground. Multiple materials have been claimed to show CF effects (Pd, Pt, Ti, Ni, and alloys) and multiple experiment types have been employed (electrolysis cells, closed and open, gas loading experiments, arcs in gas and in liquid, ultrasound or laser-assisted version of the above, etc.) using many different analytical techniques (calorimetry (several types), radiation detectors and counters, SIMS, EDX, XPS, MS, and more). One problem arising from this is that the cold fusion researchers (CFers) tend to lump anything that might support their POV into one big pile and then try to impress you with the size of that pile. That's not right. Each study must stand on its own merits before it can be drawn upon to support others. The biggest group and what started the whole field was calorimetric results from F&P electrolysis cells

Most of my work has focused on those F&P cells, especially on the excess heat claims, which comprise about half of all the evidence for cold fusion. In 2000, Dr. Ed Storms posted some CF data he collected on the 'net, and I grabbed it and analyzed it by assuming no excess energy. In other words I was testing the zero excess power, Pex, thesis mathematically. Typically, calorimetry is done via a calibrated technique where a constant temperature is measured as a reference and a variable temperature controlled by the experimental process is mathematically compared to it via most typically power balance equations. In theory the excess power is the difference between the output and input power. In F&P cells the input power (Watts) is just the cell voltage (V or E, volts) times the current (I, amps) flowing through the cell. A fraction of that power goes into electrolysis, and is computed as Eth * I, where Eth is the thermoneutral voltage for the specific form of water (differs due to isotope effects). The output power is computed based on a temperature difference, dT, from an equation for the particular method you are using. So for a flow calorimeter, the equation is Pout = k * Cp* f * dT, where Cp is the heat capacity of the fluid at constant pressure, f is its flow rate, and k is the calibration constant in the correct uints. Many times linear regression is used to fit the calibration data which also gives a second additive constant.

What I found in the reanalysis was that if you change the calibration constant by +/-3% max, you could zero out all the signals. 3% is not much, and it represents a very good analytical technique, yet that small change produces artificial Pex in an F&P calorimetric study. What that means is that in order to evaluate the validity of an excess heat signal, you need to have the calibration equation used, the numeric calibration constants, and the variation in those constants so that the approximated error bar on the output power can be calculated. To date this information has never been supplied in the literature. The few times I have looked at Pex claims and pieced this information together, I have concluded the signals were consistent with this error. So what that does is throw all calorimetric claims into question, since one doesn't know how big the error bars are on the claimed amounts of excess heat. In principle, there is a limit to how big that can get, but the details aren’t readily developed if the basic information above isn’t supplied.

For my study, I analyzed Storms' data, which had 10 voltage sweeps in it, and found the required calibration constants for zero excess heat, and then noted there were systematic patterns in those results. I then proceeded to explain via a simple two-region model of a F&P cell how such a calibration constant shift could occur, concluding a shift in heat distribution in the cell would do it. Then I speculated on a chemical mechanism that would produce such a shift, pointing at H2+O2 recombination at the electrode surface as the likely mechanism. Szpak, et al have even videoed hot spots on working electrodes but they called them ‘mini-nuclear explosions’ of course. The physical size of individual hot spots was of the approximate size of bubbles produced by electrolysis however.

So with respect to F&P cell calorimetry, I showed in one set of experiments that a simple calibration constant shift model could explain the apparent excess heat signals, and I provide some basic rationales for how that could happen and which could be experimentally tested. Subsequently, this was challenged in the literature, but I responded with more explanation and the illustration that the data provided by the dissenting authors was consistent with my proposal. And later, Storms wrote an attempted rebuttal of this to which I replied, showing how the proposed rebuttal was not adequate.

In 2010 I wrote a long Comment on a 2009 review article that delineated experimental problems that were glossed over in the original report. A group of 10 prominent CF researchers tried to rebut my Comment, but only proved their lack of understanding of my proposal by insisting on discussing it as if it were a random problem, when I had said in all 4 of my publications on the subject that it was systematic. Ergo, the proffered rebuttal was irrelevant. In that 2010 paper I added a few more comments on the CFers interpretation of analytical results, and I have here made some specific comments on other results over in the "Why is cold fusion considered bogus?" topic in this forum.

The end state is that the largest bulk of claims is on excess heat, and I showed why the claimed results are not trustworthy. But rather than publish the calibration data, which the researchers ought to have done, they resort to illegitimate tactics which I discuss in the whitepaper. Not very confidence-inspiring. This picture then presents a group of researchers who collectively are fixated on a 'nuclear' solution, regardless of how well it works or what alternatives are presented, which is NOT how science is supposed to be done.

The whitepaper adds one new aspect. I analyze the original F&P calorimetric method and point out the flaws in their approach, concluding that the 'excess heat' signals they observed back in 1985-1993 were just modeling errors arising from not including relevant chemical processes and from a mathematical quirk in the model equation. Perhaps if this analysis had been presented in 1991-2, there wouldn't have been such a furor over the claims (as happened to F&P's nuclear data, which were shown then to be in error and promptly discarded). You can also see lots of comments in the old sci.physics.fusion newsgroup and in my now-unused Wikipedia page.

In summary then, it seems as if there is a real chemical process that occurs in F&P cells that can produce erroneous excess power signals, and that there are conventional chemical explanations for any block of results with enough contents to be called at least partially reproduced. Those explanations usually center on misunderstanding the impact of contamination and misinterpreting analytical results. Thus, there is no reason today to be compelled to accept a nuclear explanation of the observations.

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    Many combative comments have been deleted. Further combative posts or comments by any involved party will merit suspension. Feel free to post your positions, and to vote as you wish but lay off the name calling and vitriol. – dmckee --- ex-moderator kitten Nov 09 '12 at 04:04
  • -1: This answer is incorrect, and as I see it, is an example of what people sometimes call FUD. The "calibration constant" shift offered by kirk shanahan as an explanation is wanting, because you can't shift calibration constants in calorimetry willy-nilly. The calibration constant is a property of the water, and the cell, and it does not jump around at random, so even a 3% shift is too large. You need to figure out the fluctuations from running a control experiment, and this is what is standard in calorimetry and in cold fusion papers. Yet shanahan decided that the calibration constant... – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 04:56
  • will shift up and down at random by 3%, sometimes in coordination with the power going to the cell, sometimes not, so as to zero out the excess heat. This is a conspiratorial idea, and it is belied by the history and practice of calorimetry. The "3%" sounds like a small amount, but it is only a small shift because there is a lot of water going through a flow calorimeter, so if you change the mass or the density or the specific heat of the water by 3%, or the amount of heat lost to the walls, you change the results by millions of Joules. Calorimetric error is calibrated by controls, not by hand – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 05:03
  • This assumption is inconsistent with the observed pattern of excess heat generated in cells, which are compared side-by-side with light-water controls. It is not a reasonable idea, and as this is not the first time people have said so to shanahan, I do not think it is an honest mistake. See this paper for a complete refutation. – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 05:09
  • Here is a more accessible explanation of what is wrong with shanahan's comments: http://newenergytimes.com/v2/news/2010/35/3518responsetoshanahan.shtml . – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 05:35
  • @dmckee: I am sorry for flinging mud earlier, I find it very hard to be objective under the circumstances. If something is objectionable in the above, let me know, and I'll fix it. – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 05:35
  • I would observe on @RonMaimon 's refutation that in a series of temperamental results ( some see effects, some do not) the light water controls are not reliable, because they might fall into the "no effect" glitch for the unknown reason the heavy water does. I did look into the etching of radiation business and there the results are well controlled and for the same experiment. There seems to be a reaction there. If truly due to fusion, then either the Rossi or the Defkalion devices will be soon working and the waiting will be over. – anna v Nov 09 '12 at 06:07
  • @annav: The idea that the results are temperamental, and therefore the calorimetry is unreliable, is not reasonable, because the excess power "glitches" occur exactly when you expect, under controlled power input the the Pd, they occur reproducibly, and are enormous compared to the error both in the cell when it isn't producing heat, and in control cells. The idea that a calorimeter can magically fluctuate between leaky and nonleaky at whim defies common sense and standard scientific practice, but people seem to accept such magic in cold fusion experiments and nowhere else. – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 14:37
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    In response to the posting of the link to Steve Krivit's comments, the first Appendix of the whitepaper that I originally offered up to answer the topical question contains a point-by-point rebuttal of Krivit's comments. There is actually little to no technical content in Krivit's rant. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 09 '12 at 16:05
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    I see that my expansions on my original answer have been deleted. I have no interest in wasting time here. I will just state that Ron Maimon continually cites the standard nonsense cold fusion researchers use to ignore my work, and the whitepaper goes over why their actions are psuedoscientific. If anyone has questions, it isn't hard to find my email, others have done it. Ask questions there. Kirk Shanahan – Kirk Shanahan Nov 09 '12 at 16:08
  • @RonMaimon I think our difficulty in communicating comes from this way you argue. An experimentalist does not talk of reasonable and unreasonable. An experimentalist talks of measurements and looks meticulously at alternate explanations or logical holes in arguments for explanations. When, admitted by themselves, the reason why some experiments succeed and some do not is not known, one cannot site that changing from H2O to D2O makes not difference. I can think off hand of such differences. That is all I am pointing out. Experimental physics research is not about beliefs and hero worship. – anna v Nov 09 '12 at 16:18
  • @annav: The reason is partly known. One major factor is the different loading of deuterium in the Pd. Another is the quality of the Pd, you need a god Pd sample. Given those two factors, the effect is nearly 100% reproducible. And yes, experimentalists do talk about reasonable and unreasonable explanations. The explanation that there is a sudden 3% drop in water heat absorption or a sudden 3% increase in wall heat conductivity (without a large temperature change) is unreasonable, in fact, it is so unreasonable it is normally considered laughable, but for some reason not in cold fusion cases. – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 19:11
  • The alternate explanations for the generated heat are mostly immediately ruled out by the size of the Pd sample. There is a strict upper bound of 1eV per atom for chemical storage, and this bound is exceeded many times over. There is also a strict limit to how much energy you can get from H2 O2 recombination, it is the power you put in to do the electrolysis, and this error is potentially real. It is controlled in cold fusion by separating the cathode from anode (the gasses are produced in isolation there), by controls, and by looking for the heat source in infrared. These are normally enough. – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 19:15
  • Finally, it is important to separate out the replicated, independently corroborated, not-for-profit work of Pons-Fleischmann, McKubre, SPAWAR, Arata, Miley, and many other honest scientists from the scamming behavior and untrustworthy results of the Ni-H folks, most prominently Rossi. Rossi is almost certainly scamming, and affiliated companies have not released any data of scientifically verifiable sort that can be independently evaluated. I do not believe in Ni-H power, it does not accord with reasonable theory, and it does not have reproduced evidence, it comes from a few folks in Italy. – Ron Maimon Nov 09 '12 at 19:32
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    Ron Maimon had posted many challenge comments to this answer, including the use of 'dishonest'. W.r.t that – the paper he linked to in Thermochimica Acta (TA) was replied to immediately, (TA, 441 (2006) 210). That paper was ignored by Storms in his 2007 cold fusion book and since, but it rebuts each comment Storms makes. A summary was posted but was then deleted. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 12 '12 at 20:20
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    Ron also implies these calibration constant shifts are random. That is most certainly NOT what I ever said, but IS what 10 prominent cold fusion authors said that I said in their 2010 reply to my comment, see J. Env. Monitoring 12, (2010), 1756; ibid, 1765. This misrepresentation of my published claims is indicative of the cold fusion community’s inability to deal with critics reasonably. Until Ron and his friends begin to deal fairly and honestly with the issues, their attempts to brush off criticisms should be noted with concern. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 12 '12 at 20:20
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    Ron also grossly overstates the reproducibility of the experiments. Yes, many researchers have observed apparent excess energy peaks, but they never observe exactly the same thing. Further, what one does one time to turn the effect on or off doesn’t work the next time, or when other try it. See for example the discussion concerning reproducibility problems here: [link] (http://www.rle.mit.edu/media/pr152/48_PR152.pdf) at page 7 of 17, start at the top. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 12 '12 at 20:21
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    Finally Ron misrepresents things when he speaks of “a calorimeter [that] can magically fluctuate between leaky and nonleaky”. That is NOT what was proposed. Proposed was the formation of a special surface state that led to H2+O2 reaction at the electrode. The rx onset alters the cell heat distribution, and thus heat loss. occurs which can cause a calibration constant shift, as can easily be shown algebraically. Breakdown of the active state leads to a return to the original heat distrib. Thus control of the formation and decomposition of the active state is what is needed and not obtained. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 12 '12 at 20:25
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    @annav – you are correct in being concerned about ‘controls’. There are a variety of problems with trying to set them up. To begin, the thermoneutral voltage for H2O is different from D2O. That means for the same applied current and voltage, you will get different loading levels, which in turn means different heat partitioning between Ohmic heating of the electrolyte and recombination heat at the catalyst (or heat lost out the vent as stored chemical energy in open cells)... – Kirk Shanahan Nov 12 '12 at 20:27
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    Further, the viscosity of H2O is different from D2O, which probably is the basis of what causes the effect, assuming my proposed mechanism is correct. Generally speaking, the isotope effects in Pd-H isotope chemistry are so large one can’t use H as a control for D (or T). Also, it should be noted that the magical D/Pd ratio >= 1 is a myth. Many researchers have reported apparent excess heat for lower loadings, and as well, the Storms work was done with platinum, which does not load at all. Likewise, the Ni systems are not loaded, as Ni requires Gigapascals of pressure to form a hydride. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 12 '12 at 20:29
  • @KirkShanahan: Your concerns about recombination are reasonable (but this is not your 3% shift in calibration constant, which is nonsense). Recombination is a major error source, and is exploited by careless or dishonest practitioners to fake excess heat. But you can tell if recombination is happening from infrared and separation of electrodes. Your concerns should have been put to rest by non-electrolytic experiments which also observe nuclear phenomenon, and by the observations of tritium, neutrons, and radioactive elements generated (using both mass-spec and gamma emissions). – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 02:08
  • @KirkShanahan: The tritium by Bocris, the Bhabha group, and at Los Alamos (not to mention Pons/Fleischmann, and your infamous 10) was what people found completely inexplicable. Please, read my theory (it's on "Why is CF considered bogus"), it explains all the reliable phenomenon including transmutations with no new physics. I got it from editing "Bohr model" on Wikipedia, where I wondered how come Moseley's law has a K-shell screening of 1 unit, and then I realized K-shell is single hole, and the single hole accelerates deuterium in interstitials to KeV energies, ergo Cold Fusion. – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 02:14
  • @KirkShanahan: With regard to recombination error, one must always mention Fleischmann and Pons' definitive heat after death experiment, where the electrode continues to produce many times more than 1eV per cathode atom of heat for hours after the current is turned off. They specifically used this to rule out conventional chemistry explanations like your hypothesis, because there is no more O2 and H2 to recombine once the current is turned off. And yet you unfairly malign or ignore these results, published in 1994, in one of Fleischmann's last papers. – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 05:01
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    Ron is incorrect as usual, and as usual also resorts to character assassination. All his calorimetric comments have been addressed in the linked whitepaper and contained references. The tritium results are fewer and even more irreproducible than the excess heat results, so they don't form any compelling basis. Usual conventional explanations apply. Without a controlled, reproducible effect, theories are mere biased speculation. So far none have helped clarify the situation. Isn't there some sort of control on 'shoot-from-the-hip' 'facts-don't-apply' commentators like Ron? – Kirk Shanahan Nov 13 '12 at 15:22
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    @KirkShanahan: No, there is no control on people like me, and this is why this website is valuable. I did not assassinate your character in the comments above, I just told you you are wrong (although you are right that recombination error is real, and has led to many unreliable experiments especially in commercial centers). The tritium is Bocris, Bhabha, Los Alamos, and another place I forgot (all 1989). You only need one non-fraudulent tritium observation to establish the effect. My theory is not biased speculation, I can predict everything everybody saw with no fudging, and no new physics. – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 19:58
  • @KirkShanahan: The theory also makes the experiments secondary to me, because even if they are all unreliable, theory predicts the nuclear effects will happen. It predicts that shining X-rays on deuterated Pd will downconvert to KeVs lower energy as they pass through deuterated Pd (from intra-band friction), and that these X-rays lead to low-level neutron production. It predicts the deuterated metal acts as an X-ray lens, capable of focusing and refracting X-rays (this is useful too), it also requires CF to occur, independent of experiments--- it's just some weird solid state physics. – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 20:15
  • "predicts that shining X-rays on deuterated Pd will downconvert to KeVs lower energy..." At what %? I.e. how much down-conversion? – Kirk Shanahan Nov 13 '12 at 20:30
  • @KirkShanahan: Good question! I'll try to work it out--- for a quick model-independent answer, if you make the (fully deuterated or protenated) Pd thick enough to have about 50% transmission through the whole thing, and shine X-rays between 20-40 KeV (wherever the heck the band is), you should see downcoversion by several KeV on more on at least 10% of the photons (essentially every photon that gets mixed with a band will be downconverted). – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 20:54
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    "You only need one non-fraudulent tritium observation to establish the effect" - No, one observation alone is never enough, becasue you have no idea why it occurred, and whther or not it is an artifact. All 'discoveries' must be controllably reproduced to be considered real. This is the core problem of the cold fusion field. There is no controllable reproduction, after nearly 25 years of work. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 13 '12 at 21:11
  • Oh--- one other thing--- this is important (please don't delete this comment)--- if any CF person plans to do the X-ray experiment on fully deuterated Pd, please use a teeny tiny small sample and do it in complete isolated room, because there is the potential for a runaway explosion and you could be hurt. Better yet, do the experiment on Pd loaded with protons instead, the band shift from 21KeV will be quantitatively smaller, it will be closer to 21KeV, but there will be no chain reaction. – Ron Maimon Nov 13 '12 at 21:33
  • http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&cpsidt=14905666 (paraphrased) Electronic structure of Pd-H studied by Compton scattering, J Phys Soc Jpn 72(2003)1145, "The H-induced changes in Pd’s electronic structure have been investigated by Compton scattering experiments using 115 keV x-rays associated with theoretical calculations. " These folks fit data to model and if there were any significant anomaly like K-shell-proton down conversuion, I would think it would have shown up. If anything, the xray emission and/or Auger process would be all that was seen. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 14 '12 at 18:21
  • @KirkShanahan: The energy for absorption of X-rays should be near the K-shell peak of unhydrogenated Pd, around 20-40 KeV at the most. The X-rays they use are nowhere near this resonance. The argument "wouldn't they have seen it?" is ridiculous, because people see all sorts of stuff in experiments that they aren't looking for and ignore. To test an idea you need a directed focused experiment testing this idea directly, not some other experiment doing something similar. It might be easier to do the experiment using charged particle alpha emitters and looking at the induced X-ray. – Ron Maimon Nov 25 '12 at 22:09
  • You seem to be missing my key points, so I will be specific: 1) The Auger/XPS example is to show you can get K shell transitions from irradiation by a source whese E is ~3X or greater the transition's energy. 3*40=120>115. Should work if you are correct. 2) Your theory must explain why the majority of F&P electrolysis cell setups do NOT produce any CF signal. Recall that ALL were in labs here on Earth, so cosmic rays are excluded. To my knowledge NONE had 20-40 kEV particle beams directed at them. How does CF occur then, and why not in the rest of the attempts? – Kirk Shanahan Dec 04 '12 at 18:58
  • @KirkShanahan: I am not sure about how the absorpion works in this case--- it must excite and reemit a lower energy X-ray, or an auger electron or proton. The auger part of the theory is standard physics. Once you set up the unstable loading situation, any random fluctuation that produces a few thousand holes can start the reaction. The spark can come from a cosmic ray (the muons penetrate labs on Earth), from a single radioactive atom accidentally stuck on the surface that decays into charged products, from a tiny amount of radioactive contamination, but not from a thermal fluctuation. – Ron Maimon Jan 14 '13 at 19:15
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You should check out Jed Rothwell's particularly informative website for more information. As he said in his deleted answer:

Cold fusion has been replicated in over 200 major laboratories, often at high signal to noise ratios. For example, tritium has been measured at millions of times background. I have a collection of 1,200 peer-reviewed journal papers on cold fusion, copied from the library at Los Alamos, and 2,000 other papers published Los Alamos, China Lake, the NRL, Mitsubishi, the NSF and various other mainstream organizations. This literature proves beyond question that cold fusion is real. You will find the bibliography and hundreds of full-text papers here:

http://lenr-canr.org/

This adresses the known literature. For a more direct answer to the question, the issue with Cold Fusion is the lack of an accepted theory of the phenomenon. Nobody is sure how it happens exactly, and there are many people saying it doesn't happen at all. These denials are irresponsible and stupid--- there are over 200 reproductions of the effect, including most recently an undergraduate lab at MIT conducted by Peter Hagelstein where the students set up a cold-fusion cell, and observed the anomalous heat production (but new stuff is coming out all the time, see the news article linked below for a reproducible neutron burst in heated Pd-d). The topic has been censored and buried in a way unbefitting of science, and the data is festering on lenr-canr.org, bringing shame on the physics community for two decades now.

The main experimental evidence for cold fusion is that when you do electrolysis on Pd in heavy water, and the deuterium enters the Pd lattice as usual, sporadically, in the deuterated samples, you find that there is enormous heat production, far too large to be chemical energy generated or stored in the cathode. This must be done in small wires of Pd, to avoid melting the apparatus or risking an explosion or meltdown. The energy released is enough to significantly and obviously alter the calorimetry in the cell, so that you have 10-30% more energy production than in the controls, or in the experiment when you aren't producing excess heat.

This energy production is accompanied by nuclear effects, which include spectroscopically detected elements which weren't there in the original sample and which are produced in unnatural isotope ratios, tritium production at trace levels (tritium cannot be produced by non-nuclear processes), He production commensurate with the excess heat, and X-rays and charged particles produced near the electrode, which are detected in co-deposition experiments using ordinary plastic particle detectors and photographic film.

This evidence has been widely reproduced and is airtight, and I will not waste my breath on this, as it is overwhelming and enormous amounts of evidence from completely different groups using completely different methods over many decades, and it is only a political process that can deny such things with a straight face

The main trustworthy methods are the three below, each of which have been independently replicated:

  • Pons and Fleischmann and McKubre did electrolysis, and noticed excess heat and correlated He production. Bocris measured large amounts of tritium production (and was accused of scientific misconduct for this, and exonerated), as did others in contact with Miley.
  • SPAWAR group did co-deposition of d and Pd onto plates, and detected charged particles, and transmutations. There were also transmutations detected in deuterium passing through palladium.
  • Arata did gas loading of Pd, meaning no electrolysis, and produced heat and correlated He.

These are the highlights, there are dozens more replications, from disinterested and unrelated people all over the world, who have nothing to gain from reporting their results and everything to lose (for example, today: you have this article )

Since the effect is unexplained by accepted theory, making predictions about how to use it is impossible. So for the remainder of the answer I will assume that the mechanism is the one I described in the answer here: Why is cold fusion considered bogus? , that it is due to deuterons accelerated by K-shell holes, that fuse into alpha-particles, which then fly around making more K-shell holes in a chain reaction. This doesn't require new laws of fundamental physics, it simply postulates that deuterons and inner-shell excitations are quantum mechanically mixed in a metal, which is completely plausible just from electrostatic matrix elements estimates. The inner shell excitation energy for Pd is 20KeV, well above the threshhold for producing fusion. The charged particles produced from a fusion event naturally produce K-shell excitations (and other excitations in all levels, according to the Bethe theory of charged ionizing radiation), so there is a potential for a chain reaction. Any fusion reaction must proceed by dumping energy into electrons or nuclei, so that neutrons and protons don't come flying out, and this is not excluded from alpha-particle spectroscopy (although, again, deuterium fusion inside a high-density material has not been studied experimentally or theoretically to any great extent).

This idea is hard to work with theoretically, because the inner shell transitions of atoms in metals are complicated. The electrostatic interactions mix the inner shells with excited momentum states of lattice deuterons, and it is hard to know if these states will band, localize, flow to the surface, or whatnot, because nobody has specifically done experiments on deuterated metals with highly excited inner shells. Nevertheless, the idea can make some predictions about making the reaction happen more reliably.

One thing you can do is simply shine x-rays on the Pd, to excite the inner shells by hand. In the absence of a well-funded research project, you can't be sure the answer isn't as simple as this. For all we know at this point, you can build a reactor with Pd, d, and an X-ray machine shining on the cathode.

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    See also this meta-thread regarding the appropriateness of deleting Jed Rothwell's answer, which linked lenr-canr.org: http://meta.physics.stackexchange.com/questions/1582/jed-rothwells-answer-to-cold-fusion-question – Ron Maimon Nov 04 '12 at 05:27
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    Ron list 3 items that are supposedly the 'main trustworthy methods' above. Comment on (1): apparent excess heat and He are responses arising in principle from the proposed nuclear reactions. Correlating a response to a response proves nothing, what is of interest is the control factor-response correlation, i.e. something that will tell us how to get the effect reproducibly. The interconnecting variable in a heat-He correlation is likely just time. Integrate the 'heat' and it increases. He leaks in. It increases. This gives a correlation. But is it reproducible? No. Does it mean anything? No. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 15 '12 at 16:08
  • cont (1)- already addressed T results elsewhere. Irreproducible. re: (2) dealt with in 2010 paper - no charged particles or neutrons proven, conventional explanation exists. re:(3) - Arata and Zhang have 40 papers listed in lenr.org lib. Most are about electrolysis and double-structure electrode, which is not simple gas loading. To which are you referring w.r.t. gas loading? – Kirk Shanahan Nov 15 '12 at 16:12
  • @KirkShanahan: Correlating He to heat when the He is 10 times above background proves you've made He and heat, or else you've violated the second law of thermodynamics by having He diffuse backwards. Finding tritium proves you made tritium, or else that you are lying. Correlating a response to a response is a mischaracterization, it's massive obvious, undeniable, evidence of nuclear events, and it is impossible to know it and also to deny it, and since you know it and deny it, I don't know what to say except you should reconsider if only for the sake of your immortal soul. – Ron Maimon Nov 15 '12 at 16:46
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    The heat-He correlation plots I've seen do not report He @ 50 ppm to my recollection. Neither do they report any heat that cannot be explained by a calibraion constant shift. If I am wrong, please cite your reference so I can verify. If not, then the plotted data are within noise levels and the correlation is accidental or just due to the naturally increasing magnitude of integrated error and leaked He. This means in turn that it is unlikely that the result will be obtained again as it was probably just coincidence. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 15 '12 at 19:24
  • @KirkShanahan: The "calibration constant shift" is something ridiculous your made up. In this case, the 10-fold He is Bocris 1989 data, where there was He detected on the surface of the excess heat electrode at concentrations 10 times the control. This was done by an independent lab. The "leaky walls" hypothesis is ridiculous, it's something people say, but the leaky walls correlate with the excess heat, and I don't accept that walls become leaky and cells become unreliable at random times, just to fool experimentalists. Here's a gas-loading link: http://lenr-canr.org/wordpress/?p=679 – Ron Maimon Nov 19 '12 at 04:32
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    I see we are back to personal attacks... The CCS is a name I gave to the systematic problem I detected in CF calorimetric data workup. It is not 'made-up', the problem is systematic and easy to see if you know what to do, which was described in my 2002 publication. Also, I did not specify that the walls leak, I didn't specify anything in particular, so the wall thing is a Maimon strawman. The phrase "just to fool.." is another indication Ron hasn't understood the explanation. Further, the CCS is applicable to FP cells, not gas-loading expts. directly. Will get back on the rest... – Kirk Shanahan Nov 27 '12 at 19:20
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    re: Bockris "1989" He data - should be 1992 as pub. date. Yes, the average He conc in surface Pd layers was 29.7e9 atoms vs. 1.63e9 from subsurface Pd. BUT!! Let's look at the error bars. 29.7 +/- 67.2 vs. 1.63 +/- 0.88. The 29.2 is obtained by averaging 6 numbers, but one is an obvious flyer data point. They are: -.1 (counted as 0 here), 1.9,2.1,3.4,3.8,166.8 vs 0.4,1.7,1.9,2.5. The avg without flyer is 2.24 +/- 1.49. I.e. they are statistically indistinguishable. The 10X 'bigger' number is no different from the 1.63 no. Pays to look at the error bars. Bockris made a bad conclusion – Kirk Shanahan Nov 27 '12 at 20:16
  • The lenr-canr.org ref Ron made is to work by Arata, Kitamura, and Kidwell. I specifically dealt with Kitamura in App. B of the whitepaper. I communicated with Kidwell on his results and did not agree all variables were controlled a la the Kitamura discussion. Arata's paper is LTA on details, don't believe it based on Kit. and Kid. results. – Kirk Shanahan Nov 27 '12 at 20:20
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    @KirkShanahan: Whether you believe it or not, gas loading has since been shown to produce tritium at levels 100 x background, and the tritium observations are varied and numerous, and date back to 1989. Your opinion is not so important, the important thing is that there are undeniable nuclear effects, as tritium production just cannot be explained in any other way. – Ron Maimon Jan 14 '13 at 19:17
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What you are saying is that since the 115 keV is not at resonance, you won’t get any of this K-shell interaction. Of course, if that were true then XPS and Auger spectroscopy wouldn’t work either, because they irradiate the sample at a 1-10 keV and look at transitions at 10ev-1 keV, also not at the resonance point for the transitions they are observing. No, irradiating at 115 keV will stimulate some level of interaction with a 20-40 keV transition if such is possible. That would require inclusion in the energy balance equation, which has to be included in their modeling of electronic structure.

{This was supposed to be a reply to Ron Maimon's comment above but ended up as an 'answer'. There seems to be no 'delete' button for this or I would have done so and moved it to the right place.}

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This theory is submitted to Cornell University arXiv.org for review. I have enjoyed reading it as it opened my mind to the complex issues that arise in the dense many body system of the low energy nuclear reactive environment. LENR adatoms are of interest and I would suggest looking into plasmonic nanoparticle science. Peizo/thermal conversion science is of interest to understanding LENR phenomenon. And as this theory proposes, those understanding phenomenon of magnetic confinement and inertial confinement fusion may add to an understanding of how such could take place in (nano) atomic or subatomic space.

The author invites theorists to participate in the review discussion... (link)

Please note:

"Two attempted crosslists for this article were rejected upon a notice from Arxiv moderators, who determined the submission to be inappropriate for the (General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology) and (High Energy Physics-Theory) subject classifications. So if you think that this article and theoretical works in the references deserve to be known by theorists (up to now, no other such kind of predictions of supraluminous effects with the correct order of magnitude came to my knowledge) please make it known."

Do Dark Gravity Theories Predict Opera Superluminal Neutrinos and LENR Phenomena? F Henry-Couannier Centre de Physique des Particules de Marseille July 1, 2012 (PDF)

Abstract

We investigate whether Dark Gravity theories (DG) with two conjugate metrics gµν and gµν = ηµρ ηνλ gρλ where ηµρ is supposed to be a background non dynamical and flat metric or an auxiliary field, actually predicted the occurrence of apparently superluminal propagations (from our metric side gµν point of view) such as the one recently reported by the Opera experiment. We find that indeed such theories could predict the order of magnitude of the superluminal velocity and even explain the apparent conflict with the SN1987 normal neutrino speeds provided the neutrinos are able to oscillate between the two conjugate metrics while propagating in a dense medium. We then explain the theoretical motivations and explore all possible phenomenological consequences of the field discontinuities naturally expected in some Dark Gravity theories. Since the Opera result was not confirmed, these discontinuities do not actually allow a propagation of neutrinos oscillating between the two conjugate metrics.

VII Field Discontinuities explain LENR Phenomena

All searchers in the field of LENR phenomena are probably aware that LENR is not only associated with:

A. Large extra heat (not possibly of chemical origin) with very low levels of nuclear radiations (alpha, beta, gamma, neutrons) as compared to what would be expected from nuclear processes producing the same amount of energy.

B. Transmutations and isotopic anomalies.But also very often with:

C. Observation of a new category of incredible objects which behaviour seems almost impossible to understand without postulating new physics (for instance caterpillar traces left by micron sized magnetic and radiating objects able to fly meters away from their source [12], to go through dense materials, to explode and release much energy in them[13], etc… ) objects which were discovered by many scientists independently (Matsumoto, Dash et al., Shoulders, Lewis, Savvatimova, Urutskoev et al., Ivoilov and other groups) in many kind of experiments involving macro or micro electric discharges and independently named Evos, EVs, Ectons, Plasmoids, Ufos (for instance in Tokamaks or at the LHC), Leptonic Monopoles, Charged Clusters, Nucleon Clusters, Micro Ball Lightning, etc ...

In my opinion, any idea proposed to explain A or B but neglecting C is almost certainly wrong because it is unlikely that two kinds of very different new ideas would be needed, one to explain C and another to explain A and B, while the detections of the two kind of effects are clearly related. Indeed there is even an annual conference called Russian Conference on Cold Nuclear Transmutation and Ball-Lightning (RCCNT&BL) and there also have often been presentations on Ball Lightning at the ICCF conferences.

On the other hand if you are able to provide an explanation for C which at the same times
clarifies A and B, ... Bingo!

Good references to start to gather a list of typical properties of these objects are [11] (see references therein) [12] [13] and i personally consider, following Lewis [11] that these objects can exist with very variable sizes and lifetimes and are all of the same nature as the much bigger Ball Lightning sometimes observed in thunderstorms so from now on i will generically call them micro ball lightning, or mbl. Their common source is most probably always an electric discharge including micro-discharges near metal surfaces in simple electrolysis experiments or in experiments where these discharges can result from the metal surface being submitted to mechanical, thermal or EM pulse shocks.