Not in general.
The plane wave has a fixed velocity, which is then the average, but the components of a standard wavepacket will not move in lockstep: they will disperse, in general, and the conjectured relation will fail.
To avoid needless clutter and defocussing, stick to just one dimension, and non-dimensionalize to $m=1=\hbar$. Further assume that probability densities at infinity vanish.
By integration by parts, it follows that
$$
\langle v(t)\rangle = \langle p \rangle= -i \int_{-\infty}^\infty \!\! \! dy ~~\psi^*(y)\partial_y \psi(y)=\int\!\! dy ~ J(y)~.
$$
So you must contrast $\rho(x) \int dy J(y)$ to $~J(x)$.
In 1D, run to mama free right-moving Gaussian wavepacket, as always:
$$
\psi(x,t) = \frac{(2/\pi)^{1/4}}{\sqrt{1 + 2it}} e^{-\frac{1}{4}\bar{v}^2} ~ e^{-\frac{1}{1 + 2it}\left(x - \frac{i\bar{v}}{2}\right)^2}\\
= \frac{(2/\pi)^{1/4}}{\sqrt{1 + 2it}} e^{-\frac{1}{1 + 4t^2}(x - \bar{v}t)^2}~ e^{\frac{i}{1 + 4t^2}\left((\bar{v} + 2tx)x - \frac{1}{2}t\bar{v}^2\right)},\\
\rho(x,t) = \sqrt{\frac{2/\pi}{{1+4t^2}}}~e^{-\frac{2(x-\bar{v}t)^2}{1+4t^2}}~.
$$
$\langle p\rangle=\langle v \rangle=\bar{v}$, the group velocity of the right-moving wavepacket, of course, but it is spreading. For large t, its width increases as 2 t .
Now compute
$$
J(x)= \frac{-i}{2}(\psi^*\partial_x \psi - \psi \partial_x \psi^*)= \frac{\bar{v} + 4tx}{1+4t^2} \rho (x) ~.
$$
Indeed, at $t=0$, you had $J=\rho \bar{v}$ — but this is the last time you did:
At all subsequent times, while the center (and mean) of the wavepacket moves
like $\langle x \rangle = \bar{v} t$ and so satisfies your conjectural rigid flow relation $\rho (\langle x\rangle) ~~\bar{v}=J (\langle x\rangle) $, any other x in it does not! This is not a surprise, since the Gaussian preserves its shape, but is spreading, so there is probability flow in it.
Your relation, however, does hold, also predictably, for non-dispersive states like coherent states (Schroedinger's wavepacket) which oscillate semi-classically without change in shape. Like plane waves, they move in lockstep.